"We must recognize the importance of managing food stockpiles and closely monitoring production trends," said Bapanas Head Arief Prasetyo Adi in a written statement.
Arief emphasized the need to anticipate shifts in rice supply and pricing, particularly from November 2025 to January 2026, when production historically falls below monthly consumption levels.
According to Statistics Indonesia (BPS), national rice production from January to October 2025 is estimated at 31.04 million tons.
This has created a significant surplus of 5.2 million tons when compared to consumption during the same period.
"This is a positive achievement and something to be grateful for," Arief said. "However, we must not become complacent, as rice production typically declines from November to January."
He noted that with average monthly consumption at around 2.5 million tons, government food reserves must be managed wisely to ensure stable prices.
Arief likened the management of these reserves to a "brake and accelerator" that must ensure rice remains affordable for consumers while farmers receive fair prices for their crops.
According to Bapanas’ Food Price Panel, the price of medium-grade rice has begun to decline toward the government's price ceiling (HET) in Zone 1, which includes Java and Bali.
Meanwhile, prices in other regions remain slightly above the ceiling, underscoring the need for continued monitoring.
Arief called for stronger coordination among all stakeholders—including central and regional governments, the State Logistics Agency (Bulog), and private sector actors—to ensure a balanced approach that protects both producers and consumers.
"The key is to monitor data closely, ensure smooth distribution, and, when necessary, implement interventions such as market operations or direct procurement from farmers," he concluded.
Translator: Harianto, Azis Kurmala
Editor: Aditya Eko Sigit Wicaksono
Copyright © ANTARA 2025
