"There is still a likelihood of rains on March 3-5 in Mandalika," BMKG Lombok weather forecaster Nur Siti Zulaicha noted in a written statement received here, Tuesday.
The agency also urged the public to be aware of the likelihood of moderate- to heavy-intensity rains that can be accompanied by lightning and strong winds in parts of Mataram, West Lombok, Central Lombok, West Sumbawa, and Sumbawa from afternoon to evening.
"Also be aware of an increase in wind speed that can cause trees to fall," she cautioned.
Earlier, the BMKG stated that rains are likely to fall in the next 10 days from late February to early March in the NTB region.
"During the ongoing rainy season in NTB, we hope that the community will continue to be aware of the potential for hydrometeorological disasters," the BMKG forecaster for the Nusa Tenggara Climatology Station, Cakra Mahasurya, remarked.
The BMKG noted that the potential for hydrometeorological disasters, such as heavy rains, strong winds, landslides, and floods, could occur suddenly with local impact.
"People are also advised to be aware of the potential for extreme weather that could disrupt their daily activities," Mahasurya stated.
The agency also noted that the flow of air masses, especially in the NTB region, was still dominated by westerly winds.
The westerly winds are forecast to last until March 2023, as the Asian Monsoon is still active and dominates Indonesia.
The movement of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) phase, which is a tropical disturbance that runs eastward throughout the tropics area, with a 30–60 day cycle, is currently observed to be inactive in the Indonesian territory and is forecast to remain inactive until the end of February 2023.
Meanwhile, spatial predictions of the Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) currently indicate a reduced potential for convective cloud growth in the southern part of Indonesia, including NTB, on February 3, 2023.
"The average sea surface temperature anomaly around the NTB region is currently in the neutral category (-0.25 to +0.5°C) and is predicted to remain neutral to warm until June 2023," he remarked.
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Translator: Akhyar Rosidi, Resinta S
Editor: Anton Santoso
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